nw42 Posted July 15, 2023 Report Share Posted July 15, 2023 4 hours ago, TTT said: bet365 are over exaggerating today's qualifying imo, The track will change and the riders teams will have a few hours to work on the bikes. Fair enough having these bets at odds against after qualifying but they really shouldn't be this big imo just to qualify for a SF, How many times have we seen riders go well in qualifying and then have a poor GP later that day? Fricke Over 7 @ 14/5 Lambert Over 7 @ 11/4 Fair play, I followed you with both of those and backed Bewley for the win based on it being his home track, decent night. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 15, 2023 Report Share Posted July 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, nw42 said: Fair play, I followed you with both of those and backed Bewley for the win based on it being his home track, decent night. Well done nw42. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mark.1 Posted July 15, 2023 Report Share Posted July 15, 2023 6 hours ago, TTT said: bet365 are over exaggerating today's qualifying imo, The track will change and the riders teams will have a few hours to work on the bikes. Fair enough having these bets at odds against after qualifying but they really shouldn't be this big imo just to qualify for a SF, How many times have we seen riders go well in qualifying and then have a poor GP later that day? Fricke Over 7 @ 14/5 Lambert Over 7 @ 11/4 Lambert was 16/5 before it went to 11/4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 15, 2023 Report Share Posted July 15, 2023 1 hour ago, mark.1 said: Lambert was 16/5 before it went to 11/4 Crazy value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heathcote Posted July 17, 2023 Report Share Posted July 17, 2023 In my opinion 365 certainly making it harder to find any value or mistakes in their prices and handicaps these days particuarly when it should be 3 comfortable home victories tonight and you are left guessing who could make heat 15, but for what its worth he's my picks for tonight Ipswich +14, basically can Ipswich get 39 points? Doyle and Emil are more than capable of getting 28 points between them, given that they will have 6 and 5 rides, so can the other 5 witches get 11 points? King really ought to be picking up 6 points, sure the bigger track will be more to Riss' liking and should get a few along with Rew also picking up 2 or 3 I think that the witches will get to 39. As a result of the above almost feel obliged to back Emil over 13 and Doyle over 8, pretty much banking on Emil having the tactical ride. Also Doyle to outscore Bewley Again can Kings Lynn get to 39 points, I feel they can so will back them at +14, Laguta Klindt and Howarth should be good for 30 points. Rowe and Jorgensen will be required to score approx 4 points each leaving Lambert to pick up 1 or 2. I will take a punt on Klindt over Harris, sure Nicolai has a point to prove after recent home disappointments and showed his gating class in the recent pairs meeting. Also Howarth over 7. For the home side Lawson over 8, now he's at 5 and pretty much up against 2 reserves in each race, except heat 13, although he is more than capable of winning that heat at home anyway. Batchelor under 6, just do not see him picking up much more than 4 third places Only bet in the Wolves meeting is Masters over 9, feel the only competition he will face to prevent him getting that will be Steve Worrall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bald Bloke Posted July 17, 2023 Report Share Posted July 17, 2023 (edited) Had a bash at Leicester -14 and BV -14 double @ 3.57. Fairly confident on the Lynn result. Although it could depend on how Klindt goes, if he has a stonker it might not come in... Not expecting much from TJ and Kye if i'm honest. The BV meeting will tight, but i'll go with it. Doyle hasn't gone great there recently, we know Emil will fly, but other than Ippos top 2 i can't see the rest of the team chipping in enough. I know it's the opposite to Heathcote, so im a bit apprehensive Good luck if having a bet.. Edited July 17, 2023 by Bald Bloke spelling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heathcote Posted July 20, 2023 Report Share Posted July 20, 2023 Ipswich v Peterboro Think this will be a comfortable home win by 20 points, so backing the -14 H'cap for Ipswich, Also think the Witches will take a lead early on and just keep it growing so also taking the -8 Hcap at heat 8. Always the risk that Emil doesnt appear in Heat 15. Ben Cook dint perform to badly on his last visit and is continuing t improve everywhere he goes so think he will get 5 rides and should cover the -3 over Riss Sheffield v Belle Vue Expect a Tigers victory of 48-42, so no play on any of the handicaps. Kurtz has had plenty of laps around Owlerton over the years and fully expect him to score over 9, also think Lidsey will get over 7, to be honest I only see Sheffields top 2 troubling Bewley Kurtz and Lidsey, Sheffield's win will come with Ellis Pickering and Howarth outscoring the other 4 Aces. Alos hoping Connor has a nightmare introduction to Owlerton, so backing Dan at -2 to outscore him Kings Lynn v Leicester A total punt here, after the Stars ran the Lions close in the early part of Mondays meeting there is a glimmer of hope that the Tsars can keep it close all the way to the end on their home circuit...but this is also dependant on the Stars being happy with the surface they get to ride on, but in the hope Buster has done something to stop Klindt whining, Im backing the Stars at +4 on the H'cap. Also on Klindt over 9 from 6 rides, Jorgensen over 8 from 5/6 rides, Lawson should be having 5 rides also so backing him over 9 as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 20, 2023 Report Share Posted July 20, 2023 Sitting tonight out as I feel it's a trap night to be honest. Ipswich vs. Peterborough is a nothing meeting and Ipswich might want to cut the wage bill as well as taking part in a bit of average manipulation like allowing lower ranked team mates to finish ahead of them and stuff, Emil and Doyle might not get 5 rides, You could see Ipswich chucking Riss out in Ht 15 with Hume imo and the latter did get Ht 15 when Panthers visited Foxhall a few weeks back. Klindt Over 9 is tempting but he's not got a great relationship with the AFA track and his score will be decided on track preparation, He'll either love the track or hate it, Literally no inbetween so it's too risky to be taking 4/6 imo. Betting on any meeting around Sheffield is a difficult one for me because the gates are very uneven and you don't want to be stuck on the middle gates as the night goes because they become very slick and it leads to dropped points. Good luck if you're having a bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnbolly Posted July 21, 2023 Report Share Posted July 21, 2023 Hi anybody got any thoughts on handicap betting on the Krasno Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnbolly Posted July 21, 2023 Report Share Posted July 21, 2023 Hi I think the handicap of -4 on Wroclaw with Bet365 later today looks a good bet to me anybody agree with me Johnbolly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Najjer Posted July 25, 2023 Report Share Posted July 25, 2023 GB -7 over Sweden tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 (edited) Value on the Aussie's @ 6/4 imo. Lidsey, J. Holder and Fricke are in good form this season, If Doyle turns up then they're a stronger side than the Danes imo. Edited July 26, 2023 by TTT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soupy Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 4 hours ago, TTT said: Value on the Aussie's @ 6/4 imo. Lidsey, J. Holder and Fricke are in good form this season, If Doyle turns up then they're a stronger side than the Danes imo. I was thinking that myself and like you say it is which Doyle turns up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heathcote Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 Australia all the way here, Australia to win, Australia + 3 over the Danes and Australia over 43 points Further bets on Australia -31 over the Finns and Vuolas under 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 17 minutes ago, soupy said: I was thinking that myself and like you say it is which Doyle turns up. Yes it all depends on which Doyley turns up, Denmark certainly aren't clear cut favourites imo. J. Holder, Doyle and Fricke have outperformed Michelsen and Thomsen in the GP's on a very regular basis so I don't see why they can't do it again tonight, I also think Lidsey is being underestimated considering the form he's in while Nicki P is being overestimated based on what he's done in previous years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soupy Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 If I knew it was going to be a gaters track I would of went with the Dane’s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 Doyle and Fricke ghosting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TTT Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 56 minutes ago, soupy said: If I knew it was going to be a gaters track I would of went with the Dane’s Aussie's would've walked it tonight if Fricke or Doyle turned up, Could've afforded one of them to have a stinker considering Lidsey has continued his fine form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hackett Posted July 26, 2023 Report Share Posted July 26, 2023 Tried to make the SWC meeting a little more interesting Backed Australia to get 43+ and Denmark to get under 47. Then an individual bet - Lahti 10/11 to score over 6 Lahti +0 to score more than Bellego Lidsey +1 to outscore Pedersen J Holder +1 to outscore Madsen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heathcote Posted July 27, 2023 Report Share Posted July 27, 2023 Just cant see the Stars winning by 10 points tonight to cover the H'cap of -8. Breum making his debut, Schlein just back from injury, Jorgensen hit and miss and Klindt's scores are always track dependant, just dont see where they get 50 points from? Whereas NKI, Worrall, Basso, Cook and Tarasenko more than capable of averaging 8 each between them, add in a couple from reserve and they take the meeting with the +8 Cook to outscore Breum, Cook 9 points on his last visit and his form has improved since then, Breum on debut would have to be exceptionally impressive to outscore him I feel, Even Artem only got paid 10 from 18 on his debut Iversen under 9, Averaging just over 6 points away from home and only scored double figures in 3 of his 10 away fixtures this season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.