dontforgetthefueltapsbruv Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 And there was me thinking that GRW123 chose that username because that was as far as they could count..... 😛 Point 2 is flawed - all things being equal the 14.28 wont automatically be lost. Infact the standard drop will be about half that. PS In the exam 'pi$$ing contest' I also got O Level maths at 15 and A at Level 17. To fill the six months after the O Level I took an O Level Statistics and got grade A in the following June. 👅👅 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g13webb Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 I liked dontforgetthefuelstapsbruv's post because he is correct and you, not for the first time, are spouting absolute nonsense. Please tell Which part is wrong ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micman Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Feeling the love peeps! Many people ask if Tracey and I miss our old lives back in Blighty. I always respond that we don't miss the place but we do miss the people. Nothing will ever equal the 2006 season when the boys 'did it for Ash' and dominated the Premier League in memory of Ashley Jones. Those meetings with Sheffield and Edinburgh were something special and I was proud to be a part of that era. I'm hoping to come across later in the year to promote my book called "confessions of a media tart - Part one. . .The speedway years" so look forward to seeing many of you then. I'll be uploading our interview with Darcy on to YouTube so will share the link on here next week but for those who want to set their alarms and listen live tune in on www.101fm.com.au :-) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Smith Posted January 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Your reply has given me a good laugh, and the two poster who liked it was so predictable. For your information, I acquired and 'O' level at 15, 'A' level at 17, degree at 20, followed by ONC in Mechanical Engineering at 24.. For the last 40 years I was a Project Engineer where compounded calculations were the order of the day. I have supplied many structural Calculations for building, so please spare me the insults talking about the impact of the Multiplier.... Now if anybody has got this wrong then you should first look at yourself. Lets start first with the old CMA figures of the Elite League. Because they were so varied and untrue, it was decided to use the rider's PL average, where possible, as this figure was thought to be a truer reflection of one's ability. ( Fair Comment) Coupled with this decision it was to create a loading that to bring the EL riders, who had no Pl average, into a comparison with the ability of those PL riders. Also taking into account the racing format was changing to make the HL role easier. Taking all these things into the equation, it was decided a loading of 1.4 to multiply the existing EL average to form a comparison with the PL averages.... but only until the first set of new figures become available. ( Not all the rider get this multiplier, only the ones who didn't have a PL CMA) ........ Do hope you're keeping up. 1. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 7 riders with PL averages. then he would add their said PL scores with no multiplier to be seen... When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A it is expected some riders will score less and the teams points will drop. .. but not that much.... ( a multiplier hasn't been used or changed) 2. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 7 riders with EL averages. then he would add their said EL scores and Multiply by 1.4 ( 35.71 EL pts x 1.40 = 49.99) When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A the team score will diminish. They will automatically lose 14.28 from the loading they started with but it is expected their CMA will go up to compensate for it..... ( a multiplier was used and now dropped) 3. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 5 riders with PL averages. and 2 EL riders, then he would add their said PL scores plus the EL scores multiplied with 1.4 . ( (PL pts x 5) +( EL x 2 x 1.4)) .. When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A the team score should diminish. They will automatically lose the loading of the 2 EL riders, but all the riders will count as scored ..... ( a multiplier was used and now dropped) So you see, the make-up of the team has massive implications. Not all EL riders will increase the score by (*1.4). Not all PL rider will drop their scores. No doubt as time goes, it will all rectify itself when all riders will used the correct averages for the league they compete it We are in a change-over stage where some will win and some will lose, It is the intention to get back to a more realistic situation than it's been for some years.... So you see I am well aware of the implications of the multiplier, and I hope I have shown you how it makes a massive difference by the way the team has been assembled.... Out of interest, apart from Belle Vue & Leicester how do you think the league table will look of nobody has to make changes? Here's mine 1. King's Lynn 2. Poole 3. Wolves 4. Rye House 5. Coventry 6. Swindon 7. Somerset Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waiheke1 Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Out of interest, apart from Belle Vue & Leicester how do you think the league table will look of nobody has to make changes? Here's mine 1. King's Lynn 2. Poole 3. Wolves 4. Rye House 5. Coventry 6. Swindon 7. Somerset I'd swap poole and kings lynn around, otherwise I'd say that's on the money. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
therefused Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Your reply has given me a good laugh, and the two poster who liked it was so predictable. For your information, I acquired and 'O' level at 15, 'A' level at 17, degree at 20, followed by ONC in Mechanical Engineering at 24.. For the last 40 years I was a Project Engineer where compounded calculations were the order of the day. I have supplied many structural Calculations for building, so please spare me the insults talking about the impact of the Multiplier.... Now if anybody has got this wrong then you should first look at yourself. Lets start first with the old CMA figures of the Elite League. Because they were so varied and untrue, it was decided to use the rider's PL average, where possible, as this figure was thought to be a truer reflection of one's ability. ( Fair Comment) Coupled with this decision it was to create a loading that to bring the EL riders, who had no Pl average, into a comparison with the ability of those PL riders. Also taking into account the racing format was changing to make the HL role easier. Taking all these things into the equation, it was decided a loading of 1.4 to multiply the existing EL average to form a comparison with the PL averages.... but only until the first set of new figures become available. ( Not all the rider get this multiplier, only the ones who didn't have a PL CMA) ........ Do hope you're keeping up. 1. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 7 riders with PL averages. then he would add their said PL scores with no multiplier to be seen... When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A it is expected some riders will score less and the teams points will drop. .. but not that much.... ( a multiplier hasn't been used or changed) 2. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 7 riders with EL averages. then he would add their said EL scores and Multiply by 1.4 ( 35.71 EL pts x 1.40 = 49.99) When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A the team score will diminish. They will automatically lose 14.28 from the loading they started with but it is expected their CMA will go up to compensate for it..... ( a multiplier was used and now dropped) 3. When a team Manager assembles his team he had 50 pts to play with. If he use 5 riders with PL averages. and 2 EL riders, then he would add their said PL scores plus the EL scores multiplied with 1.4 . ( (PL pts x 5) +( EL x 2 x 1.4)) .. When the first new set of figures are acquired after 4H and 4A the team score should diminish. They will automatically lose the loading of the 2 EL riders, but all the riders will count as scored ..... ( a multiplier was used and now dropped) So you see, the make-up of the team has massive implications. Not all EL riders will increase the score by (*1.4). Not all PL rider will drop their scores. No doubt as time goes, it will all rectify itself when all riders will used the correct averages for the league they compete it We are in a change-over stage where some will win and some will lose, It is the intention to get back to a more realistic situation than it's been for some years.... So you see I am well aware of the implications of the multiplier, and I hope I have shown you how it makes a massive difference by the way the team has been assembled.... So by your reckoning a team like somerset with 6 premier league riders will still average around 48 because they are the same quality as last year? If thats the case theyll win the Premiership at a canter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bagpuss Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Pretty much what I was going to post, Somerset should be favourites going by GRW's logic rather than being tipped for the lower reaches. Far too much is being read into the conversions, for a change I think the BSPA have done a pretty good job. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavan Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Out of interest, apart from Belle Vue & Leicester how do you think the league table will look of nobody has to make changes? Here's mine 1. King's Lynn 2. Poole 3. Wolves 4. Rye House 5. Coventry 6. Swindon 7. Somerset 1. Kings Lynn 2. Wolves 3. Poole 4. Rye House 5. Coventry 6. Somerset 7. Swindon. Top 4 are pretty much sorted for me unless Leicester or Belle Vue come up with something out of the blue Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waiheke1 Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Assuming coventry run, I think they are quite capable of beating rye house into 4th, so I don't think the top 4 is that clear cut. I'd be amazed though if any of kl poole and wolves did not make the play offs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g13webb Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 So by your reckoning a team like somerset with 6 premier league riders will still average around 48 because they are the same quality as last year? If thats the case theyll win the Premiership at a canter. I think Somerset wiIl do far better than people imagine and will be more than competitive.... . The advantage of using riders with a PL CMA it is a far more accurate assessment of the rider when racing against those of similar ability . By using the rolling average over 20 meeting give a far more truer indication of their talent under similar conditions.. ( No protected heats) So come next year they will be racing against those same riders plus a FEW better ones thrown in. On that basis they should be able to score points similar to those from last year. Of course there will be some that struggle, also there will be some who really improve along the way. Most teams have a I or 2 big hitters who will have to be beaten but nothing that they haven't raced against before. No doubt the teams points scoring will come down also but not as one sided as most appear to think.... When we talk about riders will EL CMA it has been decided to load them with a (x1.4) factor to equate their point scoring ability to the Pl rider from the start. This is where there are many variables. Because of last years protected heat format the EL rider's acquire CMA was fabricated at best. 2nd string riders with higher averages then HL from easier races. this is what we have to move away from. When looking at top riders like Dolye, Holder and Lindgren , they are more than capable of increases their points haul to offset the loading with which they started. But lesser riders with no PL average will have a far bigger job over coming the loading placed on them. So in this instance, just because they were rationalised as EL riders, their ability to score points could be harder than those of PL standing. Poster are picking up the wrong end of the stick. I have not run the BSPA down and have praised them for what they are trying to do.. A few posters say I'm talking rubbish but have yet to say what I have said that is wrong. I still believe there will be many variables when the new figures are released, Who has raced against the harder teams, those who raced in bad weather, Those who raced on bad tracks, Teams that have suffered bad injuries all these are issue that effect match results, Also in the equation is the make-up of the teams. Some riders will settle in quicker then others, some will be slow starters. Nothing will be settled with the first set of figures, all it will do is set a new standard that all are judged. It will not be till months down the line will we get a true indication of what team make up is better..... As for making a prediction I'll leave that until I seen all the teams..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micman Posted January 16, 2017 Report Share Posted January 16, 2017 For those of you who didn't set your alarm to listen to our interview with Darcy and Lizzie :-) We split the chat into two parts. Part one is HERE and we talked about the accident, Darcy's rehabilitation and hopes for the future. Part two is HERE and looks at the fund raising meetings in Brisbane and in the UK. He was very pleased when I mentioned the reaction from Kings Lynn fans on facebook and these pages. If you could share these links on your social media pages peeps it would go a long way to filling both of these meetings and raising much needed funds for Darcy's continued progress. Thanks for your help and see you on the book tour later this year! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickyb Posted January 18, 2017 Report Share Posted January 18, 2017 Just watched the Mike Bennett and Darcy Ward interview, Great stuff very good and informative well done 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g13webb Posted January 19, 2017 Report Share Posted January 19, 2017 Just watched the Mike Bennett and Darcy Ward interview, Great stuff very good and informative well done Yeah, I too watched the interview and thoroughly enjoyed his lay-back style that comes across. It was obvious him and Darcy go back many years and appeared well at ease,,,, Question!! Was it the camera position or has Mike put on a bit of weight since moving to Aussie land?? probably having too many bar-bees and beers in the top sun..... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micman Posted January 19, 2017 Report Share Posted January 19, 2017 Question!! Was it the camera position or has Mike put on a bit of weight since moving to Aussie land?? probably having too many bar-bees and beers in the top sun..... I'd love to say it was the camera angle but. . . .too many BBQs over Christmas to blame :-) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trees Posted January 19, 2017 Report Share Posted January 19, 2017 I'd love to say it was the camera angle but. . . .too many BBQs over Christmas to blame :-) But kangaroo steaks aren't fattening 😁 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bruno Posted January 19, 2017 Report Share Posted January 19, 2017 Depends how many you eat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A ORLOV Posted January 19, 2017 Report Share Posted January 19, 2017 But kangaroo steaks aren't fattening But the twenty cans of Fosters with each steak is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bunce Posted January 21, 2017 Report Share Posted January 21, 2017 I've also just watched Mike Bennetts interview with Darcy & Lizzie, and thought what a great interview it was. Mike, you always put people at ease, and it was nice to see the two of them so relaxed and positive in their outlook. Darcy must have had many dark days since the accident, and to have a network of friends and fans around him that wish only good for him, must be a big comfort. I hope the two benefit meetings go well for him and he continues to progress well with his rehab. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trees Posted January 22, 2017 Report Share Posted January 22, 2017 Anyone interested in watching the play "Daredevil rides to Jarama" .... it's on at Diss High School on Thursday 9th February ..... https://www.thecornhall.co.uk/shows/dare-devil-rides-to-jarama/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
speedboy Posted January 23, 2017 Report Share Posted January 23, 2017 Highly recommended dare devil rides to jarman saw this last year at Lowestoft real good performance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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