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Average Scores Analysis


daveallan81

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On a thread in the Discussions part of the forum, someone suggested that away wins in speedway rarely happen. I ran figures for this ages ago but it was a bit haphazard and lumped the top two leagues together. This time I've split them into separate files and gone into a bit more detail.

 

The combined overall results, taken from 22719 division 1 and 2 matches, were:

 

Home Wins: 17653 (77.70%)

Away Wins: 4232 (18.63%)

Drawn matches: 834 (3.67%)

 

The file is here https://www.dropbox.com/s/fzchxf7cgohy5wl/AverageScoreAnalysis.pdf?dl=0

 

It is, on the surface, a stultifyingly boring heap of numbers, but when you begin to delve into the variables things pick up somewhat. For example, the National League introduced fixed gate positions in 1989, yet the figures returned are all within a point of those returned in 1988. See if you can pick out any major spikes to coincide with significant rule changes - they are there if you look hard enough - but if you stop for one moment and consider the myriad of rules and regulations that have come and gone over the years you have to ask yourself - just what real difference do any of them make?

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