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Who Will Make The Playoffs ?


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I know what your saying, but we will be much stronger at reserve with Jacobs and Lambert especially at home then we have been all season. Pick up 6 points tomorrow night and we'll see what happens... Least we don't have the legend that is Rusty Harrison to contend with, until next week that is :o !

Rusty was just a joy to watch last Friday . On his game , there's not many better than Rusty round Derwent Park . Even the Comets fans round about me were disappointed when he couldn't catch Bach in heat 15

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Rusty was just a joy to watch last Friday . On his game , there's not many better than Rusty round Derwent Park . Even the Comets fans round about me were disappointed when he couldn't catch Bach in heat 15

 

I don't think anyone has passed Josh G like that this season it's normally the other way round. Rusty is loved at DP people pay to watch exciting racing and to me Rusty was worth the admission alone last week.

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I don't think anyone has passed Josh G like that this season it's normally the other way round. Rusty is loved at DP people pay to watch exciting racing and to me Rusty was worth the admission alone last week.

Was stood with my Comets supporting friends on the 2nd bend last week and we remembered a race Rusty had with Joe Screen , was a heat 15 during a league match a couple of years back . Possibly the best race i've ever seen round Derwent Park

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After tonights matches it looks as though the Top 4 (Somerset, Edinburgh, Ipswich and Berwick) are nailed on. The final 2 places will now possibly come down to whom can get in the most matches before the deadline.

Scunthorpe 36

Newcastle 33

Redcar 30

 

Can either Peterborough 25 pts (10 matches still to race) and/or Workington on 21 (14 matches still to race) fit in enough matches to get into the top 6 . In fact Workington can still get 70 points!

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After tonights matches it looks as though the Top 4 (Somerset, Edinburgh, Ipswich and Berwick) are nailed on. The final 2 places will now possibly come down to whom can get in the most matches before the deadline.

Scunthorpe 36

Newcastle 33

Redcar 30

 

Can either Peterborough 25 pts (10 matches still to race) and/or Workington on 21 (14 matches still to race) fit in enough matches to get into the top 6 . In fact Workington can still get 70 points!

Scunthorpe are probably now favourites to finish in 5th place after the double over Redcar so it looks like a scramble for the last place between 3/4 teams not only on track but with the weather

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The current rolling averages are rubbish. What a rider was doing last August has no bearing on a rider's current form.

 

Rolling averages should only take into account 16 matches (last 8 home, last 8 away). That would give some actual indication how a rider is performing.

 

All the best

Rob

 

I think if you are using average as a statistical measure, then it is more accurate to use as large a dataset as possible, therefore ironing out any anomalous results.

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I think if you are using average as a statistical measure, then it is more accurate to use as large a dataset as possible, therefore ironing out any anomalous results.

 

But David Howe is currently at reserve for Scunny, despite being 2nd in our 2014 averages - due to meetings from last year still counting!!

 

It should be 16 meetings max for rolling averages.

 

All the best

Rob

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After tonights matches it looks as though the Top 4 (Somerset, Edinburgh, Ipswich and Berwick) are nailed on. The final 2 places will now possibly come down to whom can get in the most matches before the deadline.

Scunthorpe 36

Newcastle 33

Redcar 30

 

Can either Peterborough 25 pts (10 matches still to race) and/or Workington on 21 (14 matches still to race) fit in enough matches to get into the top 6 . In fact Workington can still get 70 points!

 

Newcastle only have 2 matches left, Peterborough at home and Edinburgh away, so the maximum they will probably get is the 3 home points off the Panthers, as I can't see us getting anything (except a hammering!) at Edinburgh.

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Newcastle only have 2 matches left, Peterborough at home and Edinburgh away, so the maximum they will probably get is the 3 home points off the Panthers, as I can't see us getting anything (except a hammering!) at Edinburgh.

Depends, you're part of a double header. Think I'd like to get Newcastle out of the way first as the potentially tougher meeting than Redcar.

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Depends, you're part of a double header. Think I'd like to get Newcastle out of the way first as the potentially tougher meeting than Redcar.

 

Newcastle are on second as Havelock would only do the double header if they were on first as he wants to get home earlier.

Edited by Mr Blobby
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depends who the fixture was agreed with first. then again, havvy is the poor mans middleditch.in e.

 

Not necessarily. We were due at Berwick last week, when they changed it to a Double Header with Rye House and they put Rye on first and the Diamonds had to go second.

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Nailed on:

Somerset

Ipswich

Edinburgh

Berwick

 

Almost certs

Scunthorpe

 

Final place between:

Workington

Peterborough

* it will largely be decided by who can pick up most points away

* both will easily finish above Newcastle's & Redcar's final totals

 

Fall just short:

Newcastle - max. poss total is 40 (probably end up with only 35)

Redcar - max. poss total is 36 (probably end up with only 32)

 

Also-rans:

Glasgow

Plymouth

Rye House

Sheffield

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Obviously depending on prior results, the Peterboro v Comets match Sept 9th could go a fair way to deciding whom gets that sixth spot? Comets have five away matches in just over a week starting on Thurs at Sheffield, desperately need to get points from some of them to put the pressure on!! :o

Two home double headers in between would yield a max of 12pts before cut off time and one of those matches is Somerset so away pts are vital, trouble is there isn't an easy match in them?

Edited by Lord Lucan
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The current rolling averages are rubbish. What a rider was doing last August has no bearing on a rider's current form.

 

Rolling averages should only take into account 16 matches (last 8 home, last 8 away). That would give some actual indication how a rider is performing.

 

All the best

Rob

I am not a favourite of the rolling averages as they are based on too many matches over last, or previous year if injured & not ridden, but I do agree, if used, to shorten the amount to 22 so they can't be manipulated or abused.

 

Also, rolling averages are used to determine who competes in the Pairs & Fours & this is, also, a pet hate, as it should be current averages for their current club they are representing.

 

I also hate t/r & would prefer to bring back t/s in 2015.

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