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arnieg

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Everything posted by arnieg

  1. for further analysis of the yougov sample see http://www.speedwayp...com/Zebra.shtml
  2. for further analysis of the yougov sample see http://www.speedwayplus.com/Zebra.shtml
  3. Well why didn't you sign him if he was such a steal on that average. The rule that gives Toft a 4.92 average is clear, unambiguous and has been in place for some years. ... whereas Brady Kurtz's average should clearly have been 7.00 - no matter what the voices from Somerset say.
  4. Fairly sure Richard is still with us.The "Speedway in memoriam" site erroneously reported him as having died but that was corrected.
  5. For a sense of the popularity of various sports go to: https://yougov.co.uk/opi/profiler#/ and type in speedway. you will find that there are 70 speedway fans in the yougov panel. Compared with: 22761 football fans 14440 rugby union fans 13191 cricket fans 7944 golf fans 5530 rugby league fans 3597 american football fans 1847 basketball fans 122 people who like volleyball and 1066 people who like aardvarks.
  6. Logic and common sense dictate that the conversion factor in one direction should be the reciprocal of the conversion factor in the other. Breaching this principle makes the sports administrators look stupid.
  7. Not half as ironic as the existence of the best example of socialism in sport: salary caps, revenue sharing, the draft and municipal funding of stadia ....all integral parts of US sports
  8. I agree wholeheartedly, but I think we are going to be sadly disappointed if we expect logic from the BSPA
  9. The conversion factor should have been reduced to reflect the change in the averages of EL riders due to the new race format. Should it have been reduced from 1.6 down to 1.4? The evidence suggests it should have been reduced even more. There are 14 riders who have EL and PL averages thanks to doubling up. Their conversion factors range from Ricky Wells (ratio of PL av to EL av 1.10) to Lasse Bjerre (with a ratio of 1.86). Mean ratio = 1.36 Sum of PL avs divided by sum of EL avs = 1.35 Median ratio = 1.30 Mid point of inter quartile range: 1.33 [1.44-1.26] That would suggest the fair conversion factor, that is an accurate reflection in the difference between the leagues, would be 1.33333 ie Add one third to EL average to get converted figure Subtract one quarter going from PL to EL Data: ............EL....PL...ratio Stead 6.92 9.96 1.44 Cook 6.21 9.19 1.48 Barker 5.85 8.91 1.52 King 6.74 8.84 1.31 L Bjerre 4.66 8.65 1.86 Lawson 6.5 8.22 1.26 Morris 6.31 8.14 1.29 Grajczonek 6.4 8.11 1.27 Fisher 5.39 7.89 1.46 R Worrall 5.53 7.32 1.32 Klindt 5.16 6.68 1.29 Howarth 5.27 6.57 1.25 Wells 5.88 6.49 1.10 Proctor 5.37 6.27 1.17
  10. There have been older riders in previous seasons, notably Alex Gilroy, who was 60 when he rode for Ashfield in 2000. Plenty of veteran riders have contributed to the Conference/National League such as Malcolm Holloway and Buzz Burrows, but I would go for Rob Hollingworth who was 50 in his final season (2005) as the most noteworthy.
  11. I suspect that like me it is your statistical bent. One of the effects of the TR is that the points scored in a set of team averages no longer equal the points scored by the team, thus depriving us of a straight forward check mechanism. (And as for the final season of the EL knockout cup - well how do you cope with that:?)
  12. Maybe u could combine them - after all the age profile is similar😮
  13. I imagine 'lucy' is working on the assumption that the same rules will apply in 2015 as 2014. Newcastle were in it this year as 2013 winners - so it is reasonable to guess that Somerset will face the Monarchs next year as the 2014 winners.
  14. Denmark has an 'Old Boys' League 1 Silkeborg Speedway Club 7 289 20 2 Holsted Speedway Klub 7 255 17 3 Esbjerg Motor Sport 7 185 6 4 Fjelsted Speedway Klub 7 185 6 5 Brovst Speedway Club 8 215 5 Top riders: M heat Points ave 1 Thomas Irming Fjelsted SK 3 11 33 12,00 2 Rene Madsen Silkeborg SC 7 30 86 11,47 3 Kim Brandt Silkeborg SC 7 27 73 10,81 4 Rene Mortensen Esbjerg MS 5 22 58 10,55 5 Carsten Hansen Glumsø 2 10 25 10,00 6 Bjarne Bøgh Holsted SK 6 23 57 9,91 7 Kjeld Hansen Brovst SC 5 17 39 9,18 8 Helge Hansen Holsted SK 6 25 55 8,80 9 Ernst Bøgh Holsted SK 6 24 51 8,50 10 John Christensen K'lands 6 23 43 7,48 A few names I recognise there!
  15. Yes I can see what you mean - the Monarchs were hopeless without Worrall at Foxall Heath - they only won 53-37. Of course it's a handicap, but 'game over', get a grip.
  16. the new EL race format means that rider replacement provides inadequate cover in most instances, as a result it is simply no longer used for second strings unless it is a case of force major.
  17. Paternity leave - His partner went into labour on Thursday.
  18. The evidence suggests otherwise. Looking at the averages of doubling-up riders Howarth's PL performances are out of line with other double uppers. eg Lasse Bjerre EL 4.67 PL 8.65 PL av 85% higher Klindt EL 5.16 PL 6.68 PL av 29% higher R Worrall 5.60 PL 7.32 PL av 31% higher Grajczonek EL 6.34 PL 8.11 PL av 28% higher Howarth EL 5.43 PL 6.31 just 16% higher Bjerre is an outlier at the other end of the scale so 30% looks like the expected premium, meaning Howarth should be averaging about 7.06
  19. it was a 5 pair tournament, each pair consisting of a senior Vostock rider and a junior (13/14 year olds) 1st Sergey Logachev and Pavel Laguta 2nd Vadim and Sergey (no relation) Tarasenko 3rd Alexei Kharchenko and Vitaly Galusko http://www.newsvl.ru/sport/2014/10/17/128421/#ixzz3GNOtdKvm
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