arnieg

Spooner should be 5.07, he only did 2 matches this year.

It isn't (Cardiff according to google). And even if it had twice as much rain as (say) Leicester or King's Lynn I'd still rate their chances of getting a meeting on as better than almost anywhere else.

Neither. It's 'has been a GP rider for at least two years' Not complete years, so I would take the view that once he has ridden in the first GP of 2025 he has been a GP rider in 2024 and 2025.

I'd be more worried if he wore his condoms like a hat 😝

Having watched a considerable amount ov youth racing I'd rate Rushen higher than Vale and Springer, both of whom averaged in the region of six in their debut season.

Injured last April, don't think he's ridden since

He didn't. Think the closest comparator is Troy Batchelor. Both ex GP, both clearly on the slide, both no longer attracting interest in Poland, but both still able to do a job in Championship. I think 8.5 is probably a pretty fair reflection of his likely scoring.

I doubt you saw Boyce as a 16 year old, I think he was 20 when he arrived at Poole.

My long campaign to persuade a member of the SCB that linear regression should be used never really gained much momentum. 🫢

Surely the "temporary two pointer's" objective will be to out perform other two pointers, leaving the likely outcome that he will replace one of them. [Wood, Perry, Hodder and Spencer could be vulnerable]

That's a rewriting of history. There was considerable doubt about the wisdom of running three teams this time last year. However I am disappointed that with more time to plan there is not greater commonality between the teams. As for the team manager sometimes a discrete silence is the best response.

But with 42 slots in the NDL and only 30 in the 'NDL lite' there will be plenty of possibilities, including heat leaders because of the low points limit

Averages rule out 1 & 3. I could live with Razzer though, and Loktaev would certainly be interesting.

Scott, Vale, Butcher, Clouting, Ritchings, Summers, Broadhurst

Pearson has ridden in NDL which implies he has a British passport, so that shouldn't be an issue.

I believe the young up and comer Dayle Wood has got that gig

It hasn't been for assessed averages for some years. Totally illogical, but hey what do you expect from 'the wise ones'

We've been told he is. [There is really no other conclusion that can be drawn from Berwick's statement that he comes in at no 1.] However that is not consistent with the categorisation in the table in 10.2.2 of the regs. The implication is that the wording for 2025 has been amended. Most likely from 'last season' to 'any of last three seasons'. So Kildemand now comes in on 6 which means all the talk of Dudek, Madsen etc is now out the window.

Etherington already has a season for Scunfield under his belt.

That's unlikely to fit within the points limit. As poorer scores drop off Masters, Jenkins and Killeen are likely to see their averages rise, and McDiarmid's can't go down. Therefore Oxford will be over 40 and there won't be enough headroom to make your suggested change unless it happens within the first month of the season.

I agree he's older than McDiarmid and his record is nothing to shout about, but I believe he's a late convert from motocross so probably has less experince. Also recently third in NSW under 21 State title [14 pts in heats = Tate Zischke] And for the record I haven't started a rumour, merely listed the most likely candidates for the subject of somebody else's rumour. PS I omitted Matt Gilmore as he doesn't appear to be racing.

Best Australian riders without UK experience (or 2025 team): Fraser Bowes Mitchell Cluff Jack Morrison Harrison Ryan Patrick Hamilton Michael West Bowes, Cluff and West come in on 5. While the first two would be worth a punt on that average I agree with your analysis that West isn't 'worth' a 5 average. The other three come in on 4. Morrison is 27 (or thereabouts), Hamilton rode at the Isle of Wight and Iwade this year - I think he'd struggle to make 4. That leaves Harrison Ryan as the one I'd keep an eye on. Polish U24 2024 records: Rides points James Pearson 80 135 Fraser Bowes 73 105 Mitchell Cluff 72 111 Michael West 46 34

Cat 4 => 6.00 Championship average

Last I heard Gappmeier couldn't get a visa [he doesn't ride in any of the 'big' leagues and as Austria doesn't have a national championship so that route isn't open to him.] Anyway wouldn't Seb Kossler be a better bet for an Austrian rider?

Although the reference is to 'established average' not 2024 average and although PK did not ride in PL2 (now the 'National league') this year he does have an established average from 2023 which might push him up to 4.50.